Xi No Evil

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What's going on?

China cut a key interest rate by a record amount in a bid to boost its struggling economy.

What does this mean?

Chinas property slump and the governments zero-Covid policy have left the countrys economy black and blue, with consumer spending and industrial output last month plunging to their lowest levels since the pandemic began. Thats left the country scratching its head as to how to mitigate the slowdown, and it seems to have hit upon a solution: it just announced a record cut to a key interest rate that underpins mortgage lending from 4.6% to 4.45%. The lower rate which will be applied to new mortgages immediately and existing mortgages next year is a significant move to boost demand for loans and prop up the countrys all-important property sector, which makes up around a quarter of the Chinese economy.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: China has plenty in the tank.
China is under a lot of pressure to meet its own growth target of about 5.5% this year a goal thats looking increasingly unachievable as it keeps up its stubborn fight to eliminate Covid. But you cant fault its chutzpah: Bloomberg estimates that the country will pump $5.3 trillion into its economy this year, in the form of government spending, interest rate cuts, and more. That figure equates to roughly a third of Chinas economy, and its not even its upper limit: the country spent more on itself in 2020, suggesting it can raise the stakes even more if it needs to.

Zooming out:
China and America could do a switcheroo.
China might believe its growth target is still achievable, but economists at Bloomberg certainly dont: theyre convinced Chinas economy will grow just 2% this year, compared to the USs 2.8%. If theyre right about that, itll be the first time since 1976 that Chinas economic growth undershoots Americas.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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