Not-So-Power Nap

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What's going on?

Chinas central bank cut a major interest rate on Thursday, an effort to pull its worn-out economy out from under the covers.

What does this mean?

Chinas economy has been hitting the snooze button this year, refusing to seize the day and produce the 5% pick-up the governments been hoping for. Just look at the latest data: retail sales and industrial production were too sluggish to meet expectations in May, with the latter creeping up just 3.5% on last years locked-down economy. Frustrated, the central banks been cutting rates to get spending up and going, this time chopping its main medium-term interest rate from 2.75% to 2.65%. And while that might not sound like much, three rate cuts in a week are the equivalent of splashing cold water on the face of a stubborn sleeper.

Why should I care?

Zooming out: We used to hang out.
The worlds biggest economies were buddies for decades after China entered the World Trade Organization, with the cliques fortunes moving pretty much in sync. But then the pandemics lockdowns, backed-up supply chains, and political tensions reminded them that you cant rely on anyone, and countries like the US, UK, and China became increasingly focused on themselves. Thats not the worst deal for active investors: it means individual economies perform more independently, and for every floundering economy, theres usually one flourishing.

For markets: Decent exposure.
Plenty of colossal US firms make a lot of money from their Chinese businesses well, at least they used to. Now that Chinas sagging economy is weighing on the likes of Nike and Este Lauder, their share prices are reflecting that extra burden. But Chinas government isnt known for half measures, so these policy moves are likely just the warm-up. So if and when the country whips out its big bazooka (oo-er) and fires out cash, even US companies should catch some notes.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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