Mulch Obliged

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What's going on?

Lowes isnt your garden variety retailer, you know: the DIY giant announced stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings on Wednesday.

What does this mean?

With homeowners spending more time at home than ever last year, there was a leap in demand for tools and timber to spruce up home and garden alike. That much was clear from Lowes update: sales in existing stores were up by a higher-than-expected 28% from the same time last year, and the companys quarterly profit beat analysts forecasts.



Lowes did strike a cautious note about the year ahead, saying it thinks the overall home improvement market will shrink as life goes back to normal. But the retailer still reckons itll gain market share and improve its profit margin no matter what. Thats in stark contrast to nemesis Home Depot, which refused to make a forecast altogether suggesting it might not have what it takes to catch up with its rival.

Why should I care?

For markets: Heres the slowdown they warned you about.


Lowes fortunes are closely tied to the housing market, and there wasnt good news on that front on Wednesday. New data showed US mortgage applications were down 11% last week compared to the week before, while 30-year mortgage rates hit their highest since September. According to some analysts, the apparent drop in house-buying is down to the recent disruptions in Texas and should be short-lived. But Lowes investors werent willing to bet on it: they sent the companys stock down 3%.



The bigger picture: Some retailers will come out of this stronger than others.


Wednesday was a tough day for other retailers too: mattress company Casper Sleeps stock dropped 8% after its disappointing earnings release, while Office Depot-parent ODPs fell 5%. TJX was the outlier: the TJ Maxx owner missed earnings expectations but its stock rose probably because investors think vaccinated shoppers are poised to return to its stores and give the company a much-needed boost.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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