Easy Peasy, Lessened Squeezy

Image source:

What's going on?

British inflation dropped sharply in July, according to data out on Wednesday. But as always, the devils in the detail.

What does this mean?

Julys inflation rate clocked in at 6.8% versus the same time last year, a refreshing dip from Junes heated 7.9%. But hold off on the celebratory toasts for now. See, while the broader price landscape seems to be chilling out, theres actually a bit of a ruckus beneath the calm. Core inflation leaving out the ever-fickle food and energy prices stubbornly stayed put at Junes 6.9%. Plus, the tab for services like hotels, dreamy holidays, and healthcare actually climbed by 7.4%, edging past Junes 7.2% rise. And the real kicker: if the perks of cheaper food and energy wane, and everything else keeps getting pricier, then inflation could regain its full momentum before long.

Why should I care?

For markets: Look after the pennies.
Theres been some good news for Brits this week too, though. Data out on Tuesday showed that wages climbed by a record-breaking 7.8% in the three months to the end of June and you dont need to be Alan Turing to calculate that that figures bigger than Wednesdays headline inflation number. The upshot is that Brits have more actual cash in their pockets right now, for the first time in a long while.

The bigger picture: A second wave.
Maybe, then, Brits should embrace the live in the moment mindset but lets be real, thats not quite the British way. And while some might be humming a more optimistic tune now, a chorus of stern-faced economists is already hitting a different note. Their forecast: that todays cooling inflation might just rear its head next year, in a seriously hard-hitting sequel. That might sound a tad gloomy but in Britain, it never rains but it pours.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

The top 2 financial news stories in 3 minutes. Join over one million Finimizers

Read next

Basket Case

Sign up to Finimize

Get the two most important global financial news stories each day. Sent at midnight UK time.

Get started with one email a day

The top financial news stories in 3 minutes.