Code Red

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What's going on?

Chinas central bank cut a key interest rate on Tuesday to entice some bulls into the countrys oh-so-fragile shops.

What does this mean?

Chinas reopening was expected to bring the type of energy, excitement, and unbridled, over-budget spending usually reserved for Walt Disney World on the first day of Christmas break. In reality, though, the economys been strolling on like a tired parent wielding a half-eaten giant turkey leg. So to give the country a kick in the pants, the Peoples Bank Of China cut a short-term lending rate from 2% to 1.9%. That might sound small, but it comes straight on the heels of Chinas six biggest banks trimming their deposit rates last Thursday. Put it all together, and its clear the governments trying to breathe life into the worlds second-biggest economy, stat. So you can bet the country has more economy-aiding tricks up its sleeve, and may well cut medium-term interest rates on Thursday too.

Why should I care?

For markets: Confidence is key.
Supply and demand are like a pair of lovestruck teenagers: no matter what gets in their way, theyll manage to climb through a window and end up back together. But two years of on-again, off-again lockdowns has brought a meddling third party into the mix: whiplashed Chinese consumer confidence. See, pandemic-scarred folks within the country are saving instead of spending. Thats a problem: those supply and demand corrections have allowed the rest of the world to get on with life, but China still cant shake its pandemic past.

The bigger picture: Lets all get along.
Chinas tactics have brought the countrys currency to a six-month low against the dollar, which could float both China and Americas boats. The weak currency will make Chinese exports more appealing to other countries, and inflation-filled America certainly wouldnt complain about importing more for less. Thats if the two can avoid political mud-slinging, mind you.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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