The Price Is Right

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What's going on?

Analysts at Citigroup and Morgan Stanley decided on Wednesday that Teslas shares are a decent deal all of a sudden.

What does this mean?

Investment banks dont just deal in assets and cash: they alsodeal in recommendations. See, one of the services these institutions provide pro clients is expert advice on the fair value of shares. And to work that out, they get their in-house eggheads to do some deep-dive research, crunch the numbers, and settle on a value that they can compare with the firms actual share price. Then they advise clients to buy, sell, or hold the companys shares depending on the gap between the two. Now Teslas slipping share price has prompted Citigroup and Morgan Stanley to change their minds: Citi thinks the stocks a hold, and Morgan Stanley, a buy.

Why should I care?

For you personally: Bucking the trend.
Its against the rules, but leaned-on analysts can win their firms extra business, like juicy corporate advisory fees, by giving their stock price opinions some added va-va-voom. Stock prices tend to go up too, which means that a rare and often brave sell recommendation sticks out like a sore thumb, and is usually backed up by some well-founded opinions. So sure, Citigroups view on Tesla has only changed from hate to ambivalence, but a pivot in its gutsy opinion is worth clocking at the very least.

The bigger picture: A price for everything.
Good companies can be bad stocks, and bad companies can be good stocks. It sounds like a riddle, but Tesla can help us unravel how this conundrum plays out. See, most analysts do think Teslas a strong company, corporate culture aside but some doubted whether the firms as entirely herculean as its stock price implies. The opposite can be true too, of course: even the most flawed firms can be diamond stocks if the price is low enough.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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