No-Fly Zone

Thomas Cook cooked

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What's going on?

On Monday, 178-year-old travel company Thomas Cook collapsed after last-minute bailout talks with lenders fell through. Vacations off, kids

What does this mean?

Thomas Cook might seem like the latest in a line of British companies that have been grounded. But make no mistake: this isnt another Debenhams, where the company keeps operating under the control of lenders (i.e. in administration). Thomas Cook went into liquidation, which means it immediately ceased trading stranding thousands of people abroad. Its assets will now be sold off to pay back its lenders, but most investors wont see a penny (tweet this).


This wasnt a huge surprise: Thomas Cook has been struggling to achieve lift-off alongside low-cost rivals and online services. Last year, it issued a profit warning and canceled its dividend, but its debts still soared to $2 billion. A $1 billion rescue deal was almost agreed last month, but when existing lenders found out the airline needed another $250 million to stay airborne, they cut their losses and Thomas Cooks lifeline.

Why should I care?

For markets: Different flight paths for different folks.


While many investors wanted to see Thomas Cook’s bailout deal take off, others moved to stop the deal. Theyd bought credit default swaps, which pay out if a company collapses. These swaps rise in value as the company becomes more likely to default. But the rescue deal would have abolished the debt, making the swaps worthless. As it stands, hedge funds invested in credit default swaps look set to make $250 million.



The bigger picture: Turbulent times for traditional travel.


Thomas Cooks younger rival Tui saw its shares rise 7% on Monday. But the package holiday company doesnt come close to the might of digital firms, like the $86 billion Booking Holdings (owner of booking.com, Priceline, and Kayak) and $20 billion Expedia (owners of hotels.com and trivago). Teamwork, it seems, makes the dream work.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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