Fixer-Upper

Image source: Osman Bugra Nuvasil, JulieK2 - Shutterstock

What's going on?

Chinas latest crackdown on its real estate industry had investors worried on Monday, as every sector looks increasingly like a nail under its relentless regulatory hammering.

What does this mean?

Chinas government has been putting all sorts of regulations in place to make it easier for homebuyers to get on the property ladder, as well as to reduce the amount of debt in the sector. But thats put more than a few developers on the back foot not least real estate giant Evergrande, whose $300 billion-plus in debt makes it the most indebted property company in the world. Evergrande warned just last month that these new rules could drive it to bankruptcy, and, true to form, its been struggling to come up with the cash to cover this weeks installment. Investors, uh, arent optimistic about its chances: theyve sent the companys shares down more than 47% in the last month (tweet this).

Why should I care?

For markets: Its one thing after another.
It wasnt long before investors were getting nervous that Chinas clampdown would spill over into Hong Kong, which might be why a key index tracking the regions property stocks dropped 7% on Monday. And once the dominoes started falling, they didnt stop: Ping An Chinas biggest insurer with significant exposure to the countrys property market saw its shares collapse more than 8% on Monday, while the prices of construction metals like copper and aluminum pulled back too.

The bigger picture: Chinas Catch-22.
Property-related activities are estimated to make up 29% of the Chinese economy, so a catastrophic default of developers like Evergrande would be no small thing for the country itself. The question, then, is whether China is so adamant about getting debt levels down that it would rather take the hit to its own growth than bail those giants out. We dont know the answer yet, but we might soon enough

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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