Cool, Calm, Collected

Image source: Maddie Red - Shutterstock

What's going on?

A major economic organization said on Tuesday that inflation is here to stay for the next two years, but its actually remarkably relaxed about the whole affair.

What does this mean?

Let us count the ways prices are being pushed higher and higher these days: massive pent-up demand, ongoing supply chain bottlenecks, sweeping government economic support, surging energy costs for manufacturers and homeowners alike the list goes on. The US and the UK have already read the writing on the wall and bumped up their inflation forecasts, but now its the OECDs turn: the organization is predicting that the inflation rate across 20 of the biggest economies will hit 3.7% in 2021 and 3.9% in 2022 up from its earlier forecasts of 3.5% and 3.4% respectively.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Theres hope yet.
The OECD isnt particularly het up about the situation, saying there probably wont be much long-term damage to these countries economies if they can successfully navigate the inflation challenges. It wasnt quite so confident about emerging economies chances, mind you: their high debt, high rates of infection, and low rates of vaccination mean theyre likely to have much weaker recoveries ahead of them.

Zooming out: Chinas no biggy either.
Chinas latest crackdown has plenty of investors on edge: the countrys been coming down hard on the property sector, which represents an estimated 29% of the countrys economy. So it follows that investors arent just worried about what effect the collapse of giants like Evergrande might have on the countrys economy, but on the world at large. But even that doesnt seem to worry the OECD too much: it reckons Chinas financial system isnt interconnected enough with the rest of the worlds to cause wholesale problems.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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