Cheap Tricks

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What's going on?

US discount retailer Dollar General reported worse-than-expected earnings on Thursday, and shoppers dont look like theyre about to start filling their carts again anytime soon.

What does this mean?

Americans stockpiled Dollar Generals low-priced groceries in their droves during the pandemic, but those glory days might be a thing of the past. The retailer said sales were down by 16% in the first two weeks of March compared to the same period last year, and its expecting its full-year revenue to drop off by as much as 6% compared to 2020. Thats more of a slowdown than analysts were expecting, so its probably no wonder the companys shares initially tumbled 6%.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: People want luxuries, not staples.


It isnt just groceries Americans have been hoarding, but cash too theres not been a lot to spend it on, after all. In fact, Wells Fargo reckons consumer spending in the next two quarters is likely to be the strongest in at least 70 years, driven primarily by nice-to-haves (tweet this). That might explain why Signet Jewelers earnings struck a more positive note than Dollar Generals on Thursday: the worlds biggest diamond jewelry retailer saw its sales outlook top estimates, and its stock initially shot up 6%.



Zooming out: Beware, beware post-IPO bumps.


Petco reported its own strong earnings on Thursday, in the pet retailers first update since its initial public offering in January. That means its shares have risen 30% since then a gain of 21% more than Poshmark, the online thrift store that listed on the same day and posted a disappointing sales outlook earlier this month. Still, lets meet back here in half a decade and see how theyre both getting on then: 60% of IPOs end up trading below their initial prices five years after they list anyway.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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