Brawny To Scrawny

Image source: Disney

What's going on?

Disneys gone from hero to zero: the firm reported disappointing quarterly results this week.

What does this mean?

Disneys fairy tales might tell sparkling rags-to-riches stories, but the companys results sound more riches-to-rags right now. The firm celebrated some magic, sure: Mickey-Mouse-ear-clad crowds flocked to Disneys US theme parks in almost pre-pandemic force, each spending 40% more on average than in 2019. And the firm’s streaming servicesDisney+, ESPN+, and Hulu were the belle of the ball, captivating nearly 15 million new subscribers last quarter, enough to keep Disneys total count well above Netflixs. But thats where the magic ends: the streaming growth came after dizzying marketing and content spending, so the segments operating losses more than doubled to reach $1.5 billion. That sure broke the spell: overall revenue and profit fell well short of analysts expectations, prompting disenchanted investors to send shares down 10%.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Turn this frog into a prince.
Disney was quick to assure investors that while streaming growth might slow, the segments peak losses were behind it. In fact, the firm believes Disney+ will turn its first profit in 2024, and thats not just wishful thinking: the entertainment giants set to hoist its flagship streaming services prices by nearly 40% next month, and its launching an ad-supported version thats tipped to make $800 million in ad sales each year. Sprinkle in that the segments spending is forecast to dip next year, and that goal could be within reach Bibbidi-Bobbidi-Booindeed.

The bigger picture: Better the devil you know.
Disney and Netflix look like theyre following similar tracks right now, prioritizing making more money from existing subscribers over attracting new ones. After all, its getting trickier to grow memberships and profit at the same time, and analysts prefer profit right now. Just look at Paramount Global: it reported robust subscriber growth last week, but the fact it missed profit expectations by a mile sent shares plummeting 12%.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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