A Not-So-Warm Welcome

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What's going on?

Robinhood posted a disappointing earnings update this week, in the trading platforms first since it listed on the stock market.

What does this mean?

Meme stocks like GameStop and AMC Entertainment may have boosted Robinhoods bank balance at the start of the year, but last quarters revenue which surged 131% versus the same time last year had a different headline-grabber to thank: crypto trading drove around 51% of the companys revenue, up from 17% in the previous quarter.



The future isnt looking quite so promising, mind you. For one thing, a significant portion of that trading was on dogecoin, which investors who might be realizing that the one-time joke is no laughing matter have sent down more than 50% from its May highs. Throw in the fact that summer tends to be a quiet period anyway, and crypto trading and, by extension, the segments revenue is likely to drop off this quarter.

Why should I care?

For markets: Its all about those Benjamins.

If cryptocurrency trading does slow down, itll impact Robinhood in one of two ways: itll either reduce the amount of cash the company generates, or itll push those cash flows into a later quarter (tweet this). Either way, its stock which investors value by how much cash they think it will generate in the future (discounted back to today) will be worth less now, which might be why Robinhoods shares initially fell 10% on Thursday.



The bigger picture: The crypto slowdown is real.

Robinhood is right to be nervous about the crypto market: Nvidia which reported better-than-expected revenue and profit late on Wednesday said sales of microchips used for crypto mining last quarter were 30% lower than the chipmaker had been expecting. That suggests therell be less enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies themselves going forward, at least in the near term.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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